I'm new to this site and I was wondering why my chances for getting into Stanford drops from 39% to 32% when I check the box that I will apply early action. If anything, I thought I would raise my odds, not lower them. Thanks in advance.
same thing happened to me for duke and vanderbilt. I don't know why it happened and now it won't change back.
It's an update to the system. They added more data it seems for a more accurate, contemporary chance.
So it is better to not apply early action?
No no no, I think it's always better to take Early Action/Decision if you have a realistic chance with Regular Decision.
What we aren't showing you is the variance. This change may not be statistically significant. We are working on improvements so we can give you a better idea in this regard.
I chanced you.
What does that mean?
For class of 2016 Stanford E.A. admit % was roughly double the regular decision rate. 12.something% vs. 6.something%.
In the past changing from early to regular has never changed the chance %. I wonder if there was an unrelated update that just happened to refresh when you made this change.
BTW 32% is super high for Stanford on this site so be proud!
Thanks for that information because I'm definitely considering apply early action. But I don't think it's any update because it goes back to a 39% when i uncheck it. I was happy to see such a high chance, but then when I used the "what if?" function I found that the only reason it was so high was because I am African American. When I compared it to if I was Caucasian, it was only 9%, so that somewhat killed my buzz. Do you think being a minority really increases my chance that much? I didn't think Stanford took it into that much consideration.
I def think something is wrong then. It shouldn't do this.
That's true most colleges. Stanford does not take it into consideration for financial aid. They do for admissions.
Though I'm not sure whether this is why the percentage drops, I just wanted to pitch in my two cents about applying EA or RD to some of the top-tier schools like Stanford.
I decided to apply to MIT EA instead of Stanford because I didn't want to be restricted to a single college for my first round. I knew that MIT was keen to defer its applicants, so I felt that waiting for some senior accomplishments to roll in would be beneficial to me.
Looking back, I'm really glad that I chose to apply to Stanford RD because I was a much stronger applicant than what I would have been as an EA applicant. When you (Kiyokazu101, or anybody else) consider this type of decision, I would encourage you to think of what would place you in the best light - Stanford doesn't tend to defer many of its EA applicants, so you'll have to be at your strongest when you apply. Most likely, you'll only have one shot - so make it count =)
If you would like to discuss this further, please feel free to msg me.