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What are my chances for Stanford

2 points by kiyokazu101   1 year ago

I'm new to this site and I was wondering why my chances for getting into Stanford drops from 39% to 32% when I check the box that I will apply early action. If anything, I thought I would raise my odds, not lower them. Thanks in advance.

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1 point by Andrew_13   1 year ago

same thing happened to me for duke and vanderbilt. I don't know why it happened and now it won't change back.

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1 point by Kevinbr1212   1 year ago

It's an update to the system. They added more data it seems for a more accurate, contemporary chance.

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1 point by kiyokazu101   1 year ago

So it is better to not apply early action?

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1 point by Kevinbr1212   1 year ago

No no no, I think it's always better to take Early Action/Decision if you have a realistic chance with Regular Decision.

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1 point by James   1 year ago

What we aren't showing you is the variance. This change may not be statistically significant. We are working on improvements so we can give you a better idea in this regard.

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1 point by andeian1   1 year ago

I chanced you.

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1 point by kiyokazu101   1 year ago

What does that mean?

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1 point by smythe33   1 year ago

For class of 2016 Stanford E.A. admit % was roughly double the regular decision rate. 12.something% vs. 6.something%. In the past changing from early to regular has never changed the chance %. I wonder if there was an unrelated update that just happened to refresh when you made this change.
BTW 32% is super high for Stanford on this site so be proud!

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1 point by kiyokazu101   1 year ago

Thanks for that information because I'm definitely considering apply early action. But I don't think it's any update because it goes back to a 39% when i uncheck it. I was happy to see such a high chance, but then when I used the "what if?" function I found that the only reason it was so high was because I am African American. When I compared it to if I was Caucasian, it was only 9%, so that somewhat killed my buzz. Do you think being a minority really increases my chance that much? I didn't think Stanford took it into that much consideration.

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1 point by smythe33   1 year ago

I def think something is wrong then. It shouldn't do this.

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1 point by badass   1 year ago

That's true most colleges. Stanford does not take it into consideration for financial aid. They do for admissions.

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1 point by jayL23   1 year ago

Though I'm not sure whether this is why the percentage drops, I just wanted to pitch in my two cents about applying EA or RD to some of the top-tier schools like Stanford. I decided to apply to MIT EA instead of Stanford because I didn't want to be restricted to a single college for my first round. I knew that MIT was keen to defer its applicants, so I felt that waiting for some senior accomplishments to roll in would be beneficial to me. Looking back, I'm really glad that I chose to apply to Stanford RD because I was a much stronger applicant than what I would have been as an EA applicant. When you (Kiyokazu101, or anybody else) consider this type of decision, I would encourage you to think of what would place you in the best light - Stanford doesn't tend to defer many of its EA applicants, so you'll have to be at your strongest when you apply. Most likely, you'll only have one shot - so make it count =) If you would like to discuss this further, please feel free to msg me.

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